The approach

Show the work.
Keep the uncertainty.

The question is practical: can the proposed team launch a test, check demand and receive a first customer payment within 90 days?

01

Discover & read.

Search finds real business models and source leads. We read accessible documents; a search snippet alone cannot support a mandatory filter.

02

Challenge & verify.

A critic looks for reasons the launch may fail. A separate verifier receives neutral claims and their sources, without the critic's scores, priorities or conclusions.

03

Compare & decide.

Only models that pass the mandatory filters and complete publication checks enter the final ranking. Every other outcome remains visible.

The non-negotiables

Ten mandatory filters.

One failed criterion excludes a model. An unresolved criterion means it needs review. Missing information does not prove a business fails.

  1. F01Lawful activity
  2. F02Delivered entirely online
  3. F03No own special licence
  4. F04Recurring revenue
  5. F05No credit risk
  6. F06No insurance risk
  7. F07No custody of client funds
  8. F08Not a trading business
  9. F09Independent of government services
  10. F10A comparable valued at $300M+
The assessment

Five factors.
One visible range.

Each factor is assessed from 0 to 4. Weighted intervals produce a score from 0 to 100. The lower bound determines order within each launch-feasibility group.

Access to customers25%
Evidence of willingness to pay25%
Time to launch a test20%
Time to first payment20%
Fit with available resources10%

A score is not a probability.

The assessment reflects the available evidence and the stated launch scenario. It is not a calibrated chance of success or a revenue guarantee.

Unknown means unknown.

Conflicting sources, inaccessible documents and uncertain assumptions stay visible. Estimates are marked as judgments, with their premises and limitations.

Ranking respects feasibility.

There are three separate groups: outside the scenario, uncertain, and feasible. Within each group, scores run from lower to higher. Equal scores share a place. There is no overall place across groups.

A finite collection, not the whole market.

Twenty selected models offer a manageable comparison. This prototype does not claim exhaustive discovery or complete market coverage.